20260401申万期货有色金属基差日报-20260401

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The copper price rose 1.49% overnight. The concentrate supply remains tight, and smelting profits are on the verge of profit and loss. Although the smelting output decreased month - on - month, it continued to grow overall. Power investment is stable, while automobile and home appliance production are in negative growth, and the real estate market is weak. The copper price may fluctuate in a wide range in the short term [2]. - The zinc price rose 0.92% overnight. The processing fee of zinc concentrate declined, and the concentrate supply was temporarily tight, but the smelting output continued to grow. The inventory of galvanized sheets is generally high, infrastructure investment growth is slowing, automobile production is in positive growth, home appliance production is in negative growth, and the real estate market is weak. The zinc price may follow the overall trend of non - ferrous metals [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog Metal Price and Market Conditions - Copper: Overnight copper price up 1.49%, short - term wide - range fluctuation possible, focus on factors like US - Iran war, dollar, smelting output and downstream demand in peak season [2]. - Zinc: Overnight zinc price up 0.92%, may follow overall non - ferrous trend, pay attention to US - Iran war, dollar, smelting output and downstream peak - season demand [2]. Metal Data | Metal | Domestic Previous Futures Closing Price (yuan/ton) | Domestic Basis (yuan/ton) | Previous LME 3 - month Closing Price (USD/ton) | LME Spot Premium/Discount (CASH - 3M, USD/ton) | LME Inventory (tons) | LME Inventory Daily Change (tons) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Copper | 95,300 | - 70 | 12,336 | - 79.46 | 362,600 | 2,350 | | Aluminum | 24,800 | - 110 | 3,467 | 55.65 | 418,675 | - 2,200 | | Zinc | 23,470 | - 75 | 3,227 | - 6.92 | 115,275 | - 100 | | Nickel | 137,480 | - 1,110 | 17,110 | - 196.14 | 281,574 | 0 | | Lead | 16,490 | - 80 | 1,903 | - 31.41 | 283,000 | - 75 | | Tin | 367,490 | 5,300 | 46,747 | - 121.33 | 8,665 | - 55 | [2]