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医药生物行业周报:反弹有望延续,医药攻守兼具
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2024-02-25 16:00

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry [2] Core Views - The report indicates that the rebound in the pharmaceutical sector is expected to continue, with a focus on companies that have been undervalued due to market conditions. It suggests that investors should pay attention to companies with strong fundamentals and potential for performance recovery [6][20] - The report emphasizes the importance of Q1 performance, recommending investments in stocks that exhibit both elasticity and certainty, particularly in innovative drugs, vaccines, and high-value consumables [6][20] Summary by Sections Key Company Status - The report lists several key companies with their stock prices, earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2023E, 2024E, and 2025E, as well as their price-to-earnings (PE) ratios. Notable companies include: - Zhifei Biological: Current price 53.04, 2023E EPS 3.78, 2024E PE 14.04, rating "Buy" [3] - China Resources Sanjiu: Current price 55.03, 2023E EPS 2.96, 2024E PE 18.62, rating "Buy" [3] - Yifeng Pharmacy: Current price 38.80, 2023E EPS 1.42, 2024E PE 27.23, rating "Buy" [3] - Dong-E E-Jiao: Current price 54.95, 2023E EPS 1.76, 2024E PE 31.29, rating "Buy" [3] - Jianyou Co.: Current price 13.79, 2023E EPS 0.68, 2024E PE 20.19, rating "Buy" [3] Market Dynamics - The report notes that the pharmaceutical sector has seen a rebound, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 3.71% and the pharmaceutical sector increasing by 2.09% in the recent week. The report highlights that the pharmaceutical sector has underperformed compared to the broader market since the beginning of the year, with a return of -11.57% [8][20] - It also mentions that the overall valuation of the pharmaceutical sector is currently at 22.4 times PE, which is a premium of 33.6% compared to the overall A-share market [12][20] Industry Trends - The report highlights recent regulatory developments, including the approval of innovative traditional Chinese medicine and the issuance of guidelines for medical service pricing in Guangdong province [8] - It discusses the ongoing applications for companies in the STAR Market, with 31 companies currently in the application process, indicating a robust pipeline for future listings [9] Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and potential for performance recovery, particularly in the context of Q1 earnings expectations. It recommends a bottom-up approach to investment, emphasizing growth stocks in innovative drug development and high-value consumables [6][20]