HKEX(00388) 开源证券·2024-02-29 16:00Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited is "Buy" (maintained) [3][9]. Core Views - The company's performance in 2023 was supported by investment activities, with derivatives, ETPs, and the LME market showing resilience. The total revenue and net profit for 2023 were HKD 20.52 billion and HKD 11.86 billion, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 11% and 18% [4][5]. - The report anticipates a continued positive growth trajectory for the company, driven by strategic initiatives and market conditions, despite adjusting profit forecasts for 2024-2025 due to market uncertainties [4][5]. Financial Summary - Revenue and net profit for 2023 were HKD 20.52 billion and HKD 11.86 billion, respectively, with EBITDA margin at 73% and ROE at 23.5% [4]. - The company’s investment income surged by 266% year-on-year to HKD 4.96 billion, benefiting from the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes [4]. - The forecast for net profit in 2024 and 2025 is adjusted to HKD 12.61 billion and HKD 13.56 billion, respectively, with corresponding EPS of HKD 9.9 and HKD 10.7 [4][5]. Market Performance - The current stock price is HKD 242.80, with a market capitalization of HKD 307.83 billion. The stock has seen a trading range of HKD 354.40 to HKD 219.40 over the past year [3]. - The trading volume over the last three months has a turnover rate of 23.17% [3]. Strategic Outlook - The report highlights the positive impact of liquidity policies and the expected recovery in Hong Kong stock profitability, alongside the anticipated opportunities from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cycle [4]. - The company is focusing on three strategic areas to optimize its business structure and enhance growth in technology-related services [4].