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食品饮料:白酒龙头节后提价 关注春糖走向
Nanjing Securities·2024-03-06 16:00

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that leading liquor companies have raised prices after the Spring Festival, indicating a strategy to maintain price stability and enhance channel profits during the off-peak season. The demand during the Spring Festival was supported by increased consumer mobility due to family visits and travel [4][13][15] - The report suggests that the overall performance of the liquor sector during the Spring Festival was better than previously pessimistic market expectations, with strong demand for both high-end and mass-market products. The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the spring sugar exhibition and the annual planning of major liquor companies [4][15] Summary by Sections Liquor Sector - Leading liquor companies have implemented price increases for key products post-Spring Festival, with specific price adjustments noted for brands like Jian Nan Chun and Jin Si Yuan. The report indicates that these price hikes are aimed at maintaining market stability and profitability [4][13] - The report mentions that the return on sales for high-end liquor has improved compared to the previous year, with major brands achieving significant sales progress during the Spring Festival [4][13][15] Consumer Goods - The report notes a recovery in demand for consumer goods, particularly dairy products, condiments, snacks, and functional beverages, driven by increased travel and social interactions during the Spring Festival [4][15] - It is suggested to pay attention to the performance of major consumer goods companies such as Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Yili Group, as they are expected to benefit from the overall recovery in consumer demand [4][15] Market Performance - The report indicates that the SW Food and Beverage sector has underperformed compared to the CSI 300 index, with a decline of 0.75% in the past week. The liquor sector specifically saw a decrease of 0.51% [7] - Valuation metrics show that leading companies in the sector are trading below historical averages, suggesting potential value opportunities for investors [7][10]