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AI:Duolingo FY23点评-Q4及全年业绩超预期,用户增长、订阅和盈利能力均创历史新高
天风证券·2024-03-07 16:00

Investment Rating - The report suggests a "Buy" rating for Duolingo, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [7]. Core Insights - Duolingo's Q4 FY23 revenue reached 151million,a45151 million, a 45% year-over-year increase, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 148 million [1] - The company achieved a net profit of 12million,comparedtoanetlossof12 million, compared to a net loss of 14 million in the same period last year, exceeding expectations [1] - Total revenue for FY23 was 531million,reflectinga44531 million, reflecting a 44% year-over-year growth [1] - Daily active users (DAU) grew by 65% year-over-year to 26.9 million, while monthly active users (MAU) increased by 46% to 88.4 million, both exceeding Bloomberg's estimates [1] - The subscription revenue accounted for over 75% of total revenue, with a subscription revenue of 117 million, a 50% increase year-over-year [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q4 FY23 operating cash flow was 49million,upfrom49 million, up from 12 million in the same period last year [1] - Free cash flow for FY23 was 144million,comparedto144 million, compared to 46 million the previous year [1] - The company provided guidance for Q1 FY24 revenue between 164millionand164 million and 167 million, and for the full year FY24, revenue is expected to be between 718millionand718 million and 730 million [2] User Growth and Engagement - The total bookings for FY23Q4 were 191million,a51191 million, a 51% year-over-year increase, with subscription bookings at 158 million, up 57% [1] - The number of paid subscribers reached 6.6 million, a 57% increase year-over-year, exceeding the consensus estimate of 6.4 million [1] Strategic Initiatives - Duolingo is enhancing its offerings with AI integration, including the introduction of GPT-4 to improve subscription pricing and user experience [1] - The company is experimenting with various subscription models to optimize user conversion from free to paid plans, with Family Plan subscriptions growing significantly [2]