Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry [1]. Core Views - The pharmaceutical sector is currently experiencing a significant valuation drop, with a PE ratio of approximately 25 times for 2023 and an estimated 20 times for 2024, indicating a historical low valuation level [1][2]. - The report highlights the stability and high dividend yield of pharmaceutical commercial companies, recommending specific stocks such as Jiuzhoutong, Guoyao Shares, and Liuyou Group [1][2]. - The report identifies multiple factors supporting the potential recovery of the pharmaceutical sector, including positive policy changes, accelerated internationalization in life sciences, and strong demand due to demographic shifts [2]. Summary by Sections 1. Sector Perspective - The pharmaceutical index has seen a decline of -2.2% this week and -12% year-to-date, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by -2.8% and -11.7% respectively [1]. - The report notes that the pharmaceutical sector's valuation is attractive, with sub-sectors like pharmaceutical commerce, traditional Chinese medicine, and medical services valued at approximately 12 times, 18 times, and 19 times respectively [1][2]. 2. Pharmaceutical Distribution - The pharmaceutical distribution sector is characterized by low valuations, stable growth, and high dividend rates, making it a comparative advantage [1][2]. 3. R&D Progress and Company Dynamics - Recent developments include BeiGene's FDA approval for the fifth indication of Zebrutinib and the completion of Phase III clinical trials for BA5101 by Boan Biotech, a biosimilar for diabetes treatment [1]. 4. Industry Insights and Regulatory Dynamics - The report discusses the positive shift in pharmaceutical policies and the increasing number of FDA approvals for domestic innovative drugs, indicating a favorable environment for growth [2]. 5. Market Review - The report tracks the pharmaceutical sector's PE ratio, noting it is currently at 25.14 times, which is below the historical average of 13.89 times [2].
医药生物行业跟踪周报:医药商业估值低、增速稳定、分红率高,重点关注九州通、国药股份、柳药集团等
东吴证券·2024-03-09 16:00