Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for JD.com with a target price of US$52.00, indicating a potential upside of 142.5% from the current price of US$21.44 [1][6][23]. Core Insights - JD.com reported better-than-expected results for 4Q23, with revenue of RMB306.1 billion, up 3.6% year-over-year, and non-GAAP net income of RMB8.4 billion, surpassing estimates [6]. - The company aims to enhance user experience and market share in 2024, with a focus on reinvesting profits to drive user acquisition amid intensified market competition [6]. - JD's net product revenue for 4Q23 was RMB246.5 billion, reflecting a 3.7% year-over-year increase, with electronics and home appliance revenue growing by 6.1% [6][27]. - The new share repurchase program and increased dividends are expected to support valuation and drive a rerating of the stock [6][23]. Financial Performance Summary - For FY23, total revenue reached RMB1.1 trillion, up 3.7% year-over-year, with non-GAAP net income of RMB35.2 billion, a 25% increase [6][7]. - The forecast for FY24 estimates total revenue of RMB1,160.3 billion, with a gross profit of RMB173.6 billion and a non-GAAP net profit of RMB36.1 billion [5][22]. - JD's gross margin is projected to be 15.0% in FY24, with a non-GAAP net margin of 3.1% [5][22]. Revenue Breakdown - JD Retail generated RMB267.6 billion in revenue for 4Q23, up 3.4% year-over-year, driven by better-than-expected growth in electronics and home appliances [6]. - Net services revenue for 4Q23 was RMB59.6 billion, up 3.0% year-over-year, although marketplace and advertising revenues declined by 4% [6][27]. Future Outlook - The management's focus for 2024 includes enhancing merchant support and user acquisition strategies, with expectations for commission revenue to return to growth by 3Q24 [6]. - The company anticipates an 8% year-over-year growth in JD Retail's revenue and a 4% increase in non-GAAP operating profit for FY24 [6].
Driving growth in a more ambitious way