Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for China Lilang with a target price raised to HK4.45 [2][4]. Core Insights - China Lilang is expected to outperform in FY24E due to operational efficiency improvements and product quality upgrades, with a robust retail sales growth target of 15%, including 20% growth for e-commerce [2][6]. - The company reported FY23 results that slightly beat expectations, with sales and net profit increasing by 15% and 18% year-over-year, respectively [2][9]. - The report highlights a significant improvement in working capital, with inventory and receivable days reduced to 170 and 42 days, respectively [2][9]. Financial Performance - FY23 revenue was RMB 3,544 million, with a gross profit margin of 48.2% and a net profit of RMB 530 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 15% and 18% [3][9]. - For FY24E, revenue is projected to reach RMB 4,047 million, with a net profit of RMB 626 million, indicating a year-over-year growth of 14% [6][9]. - The company declared a dividend per share (DPS) of HK$0.36 for FY23, resulting in a payout ratio of 74% and an 8% yield based on the current market capitalization [2][4]. Segment Performance - Sales growth rates for key segments in FY23 were 10% for the core brand, 35% for smart casual, and 18% for e-commerce [2][9]. - The smart casual segment is expected to continue its rapid growth, with sales per store already exceeding that of the core brand [2][6]. Valuation Metrics - The report indicates a P/E ratio of 8x for FY24E, which is considered attractive compared to the target P/E of 10x [2][4]. - The projected sales and net profit CAGR for FY23-26E is 11% and 14%, respectively, supporting the valuation [2][6].
Impressive FY24E guidance with decent yield