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当前经济与政策思考:居民收入的差异化运动
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2024-03-24 16:00

Group 1: Tax Revenue Insights - In March 2024, the Ministry of Finance reported that personal income tax revenue for January-February was 326.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.9%[37] - The estimated taxpayer population is around 70 million, which is approximately 5.0% of the national population[12] - The cumulative personal income tax for 2023 showed a year-on-year decline of 1.0%, while the per capita disposable income in 2023 was 39,218 yuan, reflecting a growth of 6.3%[4] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Production remains stable at a high level, with the operating rate of blast furnaces in Tangshan at 89.05% as of March 22, 2024[4] - The construction sector shows weak performance, with national cement prices continuing to decline as of March 22, 2024[15] - Real estate transactions in 30 major cities have shown a continued increase, with both first-tier and second-tier cities experiencing a rebound in transaction volumes[16] Group 3: External Trade and Pricing - The China Containerized Freight Index (CCFI) was reported at 1,244.83 points as of March 22, 2024, indicating a continued decline from the previous value of 1,278.28 points[47] - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was recorded at 2,196 points as of March 22, 2024, down from 2,374 points the previous week, reflecting fluctuations in shipping rates[67] - The CDFI (China Dry Bulk Freight Index) recorded 1,384.66 points, showing high volatility compared to the previous week[52]