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2024年2月复盘及3月市场阶段分析:市场仍处于中长线配置期
CHINA DRAGON SECURITIES·2024-03-13 16:00

Economic and Policy Environment - In February, the CPI increased by 0.7% year-on-year, reversing a decline of 0.8% in the previous month, primarily due to seasonal factors and increased travel service prices [1] - The 5-year LPR was lowered by 25 basis points, which is expected to promote recovery in the real estate market and boost consumer spending [2][52] - The central bank's liquidity remains reasonably ample, supported by a 0.5% reserve requirement ratio cut, providing long-term liquidity of 1 trillion yuan [56][99] Market Analysis - February saw a general upward trend in the market, with major indices such as the ChiNext Index rising by 14.85% and the STAR 50 Index by 17.94% [19][30] - The market is currently in a favorable configuration period, with risk premium rates indicating a good window for investment opportunities [13][96] - The overall performance of various sectors was positive, particularly in technology (TMT), which was catalyzed by advancements in AI technology [39][63] Investment Opportunities - The report highlights that the market is still in a configuration period, suggesting potential for medium to long-term investments [11][94] - The focus for the upcoming trading days should be on sectors such as healthcare, consumer goods, finance, and real estate [31][91] - The overall valuation of major indices remains low, with many industry indices close to their historical minimums, indicating potential for future growth [86][88]