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投资价值分析报告:公司资源具有一定稀缺性,新项目陆续投运有望带来新增长点

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Recommended (First)" investment rating to the company with a target price of 25.60 CNY per share within six months [13]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated strong operational capabilities, successfully launching and maintaining profitable tourism projects, which indicates its ability to develop and operate tourism resources effectively [56]. - The tourism industry is experiencing a comprehensive recovery supported by "compensatory" demand following the lifting of travel restrictions, with significant growth in domestic tourism numbers and spending [11][45]. - The company is expected to see new growth points from upcoming projects, including the Nanshan Xiaozhai Phase II and Yushui Hot Spring renovation, which are projected to be operational by December 2025 and 2026 respectively [27][29]. Summary by Sections Company Investment Rating - The company is rated "Recommended (First)" with a target price of 25.60 CNY per share [13]. Company Performance Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2023-2025 are 6.56 billion, 7.41 billion, and 8.38 billion CNY, with year-over-year growth rates of 77.94%, 12.99%, and 13.04% respectively [73]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 1.49 billion, 1.82 billion, and 2.06 billion CNY for the same period, with corresponding EPS of 0.80, 0.97, and 1.11 CNY [73]. - The company’s P/E ratios are projected to be 182.91, 25.15, 20.74, and 18.13 for 2023E, 2024E, and 2025E respectively [2]. Industry Overview - The tourism industry is closely linked to economic cycles, with growth rates often exceeding overall economic growth during favorable economic conditions [8]. - The report highlights that the domestic tourism market is expected to exceed 60 billion trips and 6 trillion CNY in revenue by 2024, indicating a robust recovery trajectory [49]. Company Core Resources and Competitive Advantages - The company benefits from unique resources, including the Nanshan Bamboo Sea and Yushui Hot Spring, which are rare in the Yangtze River Delta region, enhancing its competitive edge [11][33]. - The diverse product offerings create synergistic effects, attracting a wider range of tourists and expanding the consumer base [35][66]. Operational Efficiency and Management - The company has shown improved operational efficiency, with a significant reduction in sales expenses and an increase in gross and net profit margins in 2023 [59]. - Compared to peers, the company maintains a strong position in inventory turnover and return on equity, indicating effective management practices [67][39].