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年报点评:规模效应强化盈利韧性,出海加速增量空间广阔
CHINA DRAGON SECURITIES·2024-03-31 16:00

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with initial coverage [1]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 602.32 billion yuan in 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 42.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 30.04 billion yuan, up 80.7% year-on-year [3][4]. - The strong performance is attributed to scale production, a decrease in lithium carbonate prices, and significant government subsidies, which contributed to a gross margin of 20.2%, an increase of 3.2 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The company is expected to benefit from product high-endization and globalization, with projected net profits for 2024-2026 at 39.90 billion, 50.46 billion, and 57.95 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 14.8, 11.7, and 10.2 [6][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2023, the company reported a revenue of 180.04 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.1%, and a net profit of 8.67 billion yuan, up 18.6% year-on-year [3]. - The company’s single-vehicle profit increased by 9.9% year-on-year to 0.91 million yuan, demonstrating strong profitability despite price reductions [5]. Market Expansion - The company’s overseas sales of new energy passenger vehicles increased by 134% year-on-year to 59,500 units in January-February 2024, indicating significant growth in international markets [5]. - The company has entered multiple international markets, including Japan and Germany, and is expanding into Greece with new vehicle launches [5]. Production Capacity - The company is enhancing its global production capacity with new factories in Thailand and Brazil, expected to commence operations in Q3 2024 and H2 2024 respectively, which will support its international sales growth [5].