火电业绩大幅改善 容量电价落地稳定长期盈利能力
HDPIHDPI(SH:600027)2024-03-31 16:00

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company's performance in the thermal power sector has significantly improved due to a decrease in coal costs, leading to a substantial increase in profits [4][5] - The company reported a revenue of 117.18 billion yuan for 2023, a year-on-year increase of 9.45%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 4.52 billion yuan, a significant rise from 116 million yuan in 2022 [4][6] - The average on-grid electricity price for the company was 516.98 yuan per megawatt-hour, a slight decrease of 0.44% year-on-year, while the coal price dropped by 12.24% to 1,038.56 yuan per ton [4][5] - The company expects to generate additional revenue of nearly 4.7 billion yuan from capacity pricing in 2024, supported by a stable thermal power business outlook [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of 117.18 billion yuan in 2023, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.5% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 4.52 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3,789% [6] - The company’s gross profit margin improved significantly, with a gross profit of 7.59 billion yuan from thermal power operations, a 497% increase year-on-year [4][6] Cost Structure - The company's coal cost decreased, contributing to improved profitability in the thermal power sector [4][5] - Financial expenses were reduced to 3.60 billion yuan, a decrease of approximately 10.95% year-on-year, due to refinancing efforts [5] Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2024 and 2025, projecting net profits of 7.01 billion yuan and 7.52 billion yuan, respectively [4][6] - The report anticipates continued improvement in the thermal power business, bolstered by the implementation of capacity pricing [4]