汽车安全业务完成整合，看好业绩持续增长

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 20.40, down from the previous target of RMB 24.60 [1][9]. Core Insights - The automotive safety business has completed its integration, and the report is optimistic about sustained growth in performance. The overseas automotive safety business continued to reduce losses in Q4 2023, with an annual gross margin exceeding expectations at 15.1% [1][2]. - In Q4 2023, new orders reached RMB 14.7 billion, with expectations for orders from German automotive companies in 2024 [2][7]. - The report projects a revenue adjustment for 2024-2025, with expected revenues of RMB 643.0 billion and RMB 728.4 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 15.4% and 13.3% respectively [7][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2023, the company achieved revenue of RMB 144.2 billion, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.6% and a year-on-year increase of 0.9%. The gross margin for Q4 was 18.4%, up 6.6 percentage points year-on-year [1][6]. - For the full year 2023, the company reported revenue of RMB 557.3 billion, an 11.9% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 15.1%, up 3.1 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 10.8 billion, a significant increase of 174.8% year-on-year [1][5]. Order Book and Future Projections - The total new orders for 2023 amounted to approximately RMB 737 billion, with new energy orders accounting for RMB 442 billion, or about 60% of the total. The company expects to fully turn around its North American automotive safety business in 2024, further enhancing profitability [2][7]. - The report introduces 2026 performance forecasts, estimating revenues of RMB 786.7 billion and net profits of RMB 22.7 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 8.0% and 11.9% respectively [7][8]. Valuation Adjustments - The report slightly lowers the company's 2024 P/E valuation to 20 times, down from 23 times, reflecting the completed integration of the automotive safety business and the expectation of steady profit growth in 2024 [9][10].