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Positive on business recovery in FY24/25E
02283TK GROUP HLDG(02283) 招银国际·2024-04-09 16:00

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for TK Group with a target price (TP) adjusted to HK2.79,basedonan8.2xFY24EP/Eratio,whichalignswithits5−yearhistoricalforwardP/E[2][20][34].CoreInsights−Managementexpressedapositiveoutlookonorderrestocking,newclientacquisitions,andcapacityexpansioninVietnamandHuizhou,particularlyintheautomotive,medicaldevice,ande−cigarettesectors.FollowingachallengingFY23,netprofitisexpectedtogrowby382.79, based on an 8.2x FY24E P/E ratio, which aligns with its 5-year historical forward P/E [2][20][34]. Core Insights - Management expressed a positive outlook on order restocking, new client acquisitions, and capacity expansion in Vietnam and Huizhou, particularly in the automotive, medical device, and e-cigarette sectors. Following a challenging FY23, net profit is expected to grow by 38% and 19% year-on-year in FY24 and FY25, respectively, driven by new orders and operational efficiency improvements [2][38]. - The stock is currently trading at 4.4x FY24E P/E with a yield of 10%, indicating an attractive risk/reward profile [2][38]. Financial Summary - FY23 revenue and net profit declined by 15% and 10% year-on-year, respectively, primarily due to weak demand in consumer electronics and communications, although the automotive and e-cigarette segments showed growth [38]. - Revenue projections for FY24E are set at HK2,318 million, with a year-on-year growth of 19%, and net profit is expected to reach HK$282 million, reflecting a 38% increase [9][10][38]. - Gross profit margin improved to 26.4% in FY23 from 23.7% in FY22, attributed to favorable foreign exchange rates and easing supply chain issues in the automotive sector [38]. Revenue Breakdown - The revenue mix indicates a significant contribution from various segments, with mobile and wearable devices, medical devices, and automotive sectors being key growth drivers [6][9][10]. - The automotive segment is projected to grow by 25% in FY24E, while the e-cigarette segment is expected to continue its strong performance with a 40% growth forecast [9][10][38]. Valuation Metrics - The report highlights a P/E ratio of 4.4x for FY24E, which is considered attractive compared to historical averages, alongside a dividend payout ratio of 83% [2][38]. - The expected return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve to 16.0% in FY24E, reflecting enhanced profitability and operational efficiency [10][15][38].