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核心管线LZ901三期临床有序推进

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [2][8]. Core Viewpoints - The company is increasing its R&D investment, with a focus on advancing its pipeline. In 2023, the adjusted loss was 223 million yuan, compared to a loss of 152 million yuan in the previous year. R&D expenses for 2023 were 173 million yuan, an increase of 88.9% year-on-year, primarily due to the Phase 3 clinical trial of LZ901 in China [2][5]. - The core product, LZ901, is a recombinant shingles vaccine that has entered Phase 3 clinical trials in China, with 26,000 participants enrolled. The BLA application is expected to be submitted in Q4 2024, with commercialization anticipated in Q4 2025 [2][8]. - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2024 and 2025 to -300 million yuan and -356 million yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2026 at -341 million yuan [2][8]. Financial Forecasts and Metrics - Revenue projections show a significant increase from 1.9 million yuan in 2024 to 244.6 million yuan in 2026, reflecting a growth rate of 1336.0% and 800.4% respectively [1]. - The company is expected to maintain a negative net profit margin, with projected losses continuing through 2026 [1][2]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to improve from -15.2 in 2024 to -12.8 in 2025, indicating a potential recovery in earnings [1][2]. Pipeline Progress - The company has multiple products in its pipeline, including K3, a biosimilar to Humira, which is set to enter Phase 3 trials in H2 2024, and K193, a bispecific antibody for treating B-cell leukemia and lymphoma, which is expected to complete Phase 1 trials in H2 2024 [2][5][8]. - As of December 31, 2023, the company has four products in preclinical stages, including a recombinant varicella vaccine and a recombinant RSV vaccine [3][6].