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电子:德州仪器Q1业绩超预期,持续关注模拟芯片板块
德邦证券·2024-04-26 01:30

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Texas Instruments, indicating a positive outlook compared to the market [1][4]. Core Insights - Texas Instruments reported Q1 2024 earnings that exceeded expectations, with revenue of 3.66billion,adecreaseof10.33.66 billion, a decrease of 10.3% quarter-over-quarter and 16.4% year-over-year, marking the lowest level since 2020. Net profit was 1.11 billion, down 35% year-over-year, but above market expectations of 983million.NonGAAPearningspersharewere983 million. Non-GAAP earnings per share were 1.10, slightly above the expected 1.08.ThegrossmarginforQ12024was57.221.08. The gross margin for Q1 2024 was 57.22% due to declining utilization rates and rising costs from capacity expansion. The company anticipates Q2 revenue to be between 3.65 billion and 3.95billion,indicatingapotentialforcontinuedgrowth[3].Demandforconsumerelectronicsisrecovering,whilethedeclineinindustrialdemandisexpectedtoease.TheconsumerelectronicssectorhasshownaclearrecoverytrendsinceQ42023,withAIandotherincrementaldemandslikelytoboosttheneedforsmartphonesandPCs.InQ12024,revenuefromanalogproductswas3.95 billion, indicating a potential for continued growth [3]. - Demand for consumer electronics is recovering, while the decline in industrial demand is expected to ease. The consumer electronics sector has shown a clear recovery trend since Q4 2023, with AI and other incremental demands likely to boost the need for smartphones and PCs. In Q1 2024, revenue from analog products was 2.835 billion, down 14% year-over-year; embedded products revenue was 652million,down22652 million, down 22%; and other products revenue was 173 million, down 33%. Some industrial clients have begun to deplete their inventories, suggesting a potential stabilization in industrial demand [3]. - China is the largest market for analog chips globally, with a low domestic production rate. In 2022, China's semiconductor market reached 180.3billion,accountingfor32.5180.3 billion, accounting for 32.5% of the global market. The analog chip market in China was valued at 42.2 billion, representing 47.4% of the global analog chip market. However, the domestic production rate for analog ICs in China is only about 12%. With improvements in domestic manufacturers and favorable national policies, the market for analog chips in China is expected to grow, providing significant opportunities for local manufacturers [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2024 revenue was 3.66billion,down10.33.66 billion, down 10.3% quarter-over-quarter and 16.4% year-over-year [3] - Net profit was 1.11 billion, down 35% year-over-year, exceeding market expectations [3] - Non-GAAP EPS was 1.10,slightlyabovetheexpected1.10, slightly above the expected 1.08 [3] - Gross margin for Q1 2024 was 57.22% [3] - Q2 revenue forecast is between 3.65billionand3.65 billion and 3.95 billion [3] Market Demand - Recovery in consumer electronics demand since Q4 2023 [3] - Industrial demand decline expected to ease as clients deplete inventories [3] - Revenue breakdown for Q1 2024: analog products at 2.835billion,embeddedproductsat2.835 billion, embedded products at 652 million, and other products at 173million[3]MarketPositionChinaholdsthelargestshareoftheglobalanalogchipmarket[3]2022Chinassemiconductormarketwasvaluedat173 million [3] Market Position - China holds the largest share of the global analog chip market [3] - 2022 China's semiconductor market was valued at 180.3 billion [3] - Analog chip market in China was $42.2 billion, with a domestic production rate of only 12% [3] - Growth potential for local manufacturers due to favorable policies and market trends [3]