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箭牌家居2023A&2024Q1点评:智能坐便器延续增长红利,盈利阶段性承压

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a clear investment rating for the company [20]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 7.648 billion yuan in 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 2%, while net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 28% to 425 million yuan [6][8]. - The growth drivers for 2023 included home decoration and e-commerce, with expectations for export to be a key growth driver in Q1 2024 [7][8]. - The company is focusing on enhancing customer acquisition, improving average transaction value, and optimizing channel layouts to strengthen its competitive advantage [8]. - The report anticipates net profits of 470 million yuan and 540 million yuan for 2024 and 2025, respectively, corresponding to current price-to-earnings ratios of 17x and 15x [8]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2023, the company reported a revenue of 7.648 billion yuan, with a net profit of 425 million yuan and a non-deductible net profit of 392 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 28% [6]. - The gross profit margin for 2023 was 28%, with a decline of 4.5 percentage points compared to the previous year [12]. - The company’s sales expenses for 2023 were 603 million yuan, accounting for 8% of total revenue [18]. - The report projects revenues of 8.264 billion yuan and 9.099 billion yuan for 2024 and 2025, respectively [18]. Product and Market Insights - The smart toilet segment continues to show significant growth, with a notable increase in sales volume driven by e-commerce and home decoration channels [8][12]. - The company is enhancing its product offerings by increasing the sales of related products alongside its core sanitary ceramics [8]. - The average price of smart toilets remains significantly higher than that of sanitary ceramics, contributing positively to overall revenue [12].