Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [2][6]. Core Views - The company's waste disposal main business is steadily developing, while the lithium battery recycling business is under short-term pressure. The rubber regeneration sector shows promising potential [2][8]. - The company has successfully adjusted waste treatment fees for six projects, leading to increased revenue from waste disposal [18]. - The company is expected to see revenue growth from 34.65 billion yuan in 2024 to 39.97 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding net profits increasing from 7.2 billion yuan to 8.59 billion yuan during the same period [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2023, the company achieved total revenue of 3,178 million yuan, a decrease of 5.14% year-on-year, and a net profit of 603 million yuan, down 17.13% year-on-year [24]. - The projected revenues for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 3,465 million yuan, 3,701 million yuan, and 3,997 million yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 720 million yuan, 794 million yuan, and 859 million yuan [3][20]. - The gross profit margin is projected to improve from 37.3% in 2023 to 38.0% in 2026 [20]. Business Segment Performance - The waste incineration power generation projects have generated a cumulative power output of 2.922 billion kWh in 2023, with a cumulative waste input of 9.2369 million tons [1]. - The company processed 738,300 tons of kitchen waste in 2023, a 19.16% increase from the previous year, with revenue from this segment reaching 363 million yuan, up 11.63% year-on-year [1][2]. - The rubber regeneration segment reported a revenue increase of 506.68% in 2023, indicating significant growth potential as production capacity expands [26].
垃圾处置板块稳步发展,资源再生板块亏损致短期业绩承压