Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [14][23]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant growth in its commercial air conditioning application revenue, increasing from 49 million RMB in 2018 to 201 million RMB in 2023, with a CAGR of 32.6% [1]. - The domestic market share of the company is expected to continue rising, particularly as it integrates into the supply chains of major domestic brands like Gree and Midea [1]. - The company has actively expanded its overseas market presence, with overseas revenue growing from 16% to 34% of total revenue between 2018 and 2023, achieving 186 million RMB in overseas sales in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 40.6% [11]. - The company plans to optimize its cost structure by gradually adopting aluminum wire motors in its products, aiming for 50% of models to feature this technology within two years [10]. Summary by Sections Business Performance - In 2023, the company reported total revenue of 555 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 23.86%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 87 million RMB, up 24.20% [15]. - The forecast for 2024-2026 indicates revenues of 701 million RMB, 882 million RMB, and 1.104 billion RMB, with net profits of 110 million RMB, 136 million RMB, and 167 million RMB respectively [23]. Market Position - The company’s domestic market share was 5.59% in 2022, ranking just behind the top five foreign brands, which saw their market share decline from 96.1% to 80.3% from 2015 to 2022 [1]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the scroll compressor market, benefiting from the trend of domestic substitution [10]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with projected revenue growth rates of 26.39%, 25.73%, and 25.20% for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [25]. - The projected diluted earnings per share for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 1.881 RMB, 2.316 RMB, and 2.855 RMB respectively [25].
涡旋压缩机龙头，国产替代稳步推进