ZY-Tungsten(002378) 民生证券·2024-04-29 03:30Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [7][66]. Core Views - The company benefits from rising tungsten prices, with expectations for continued growth in its cutting tool business [4][66]. - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 3.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.15%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 29.21% to 144 million yuan [1][17]. - The company has a strong resource base, with tungsten reserves of 94,600 tons, tin reserves of 17,600 tons, and copper reserves of 12,900 tons [4][54]. Summary by Sections 1. Event Overview - In 2023, the company reported a revenue of 3.4 billion yuan, up 6.15% year-on-year, and a net profit of 144 million yuan, down 29.21% year-on-year [1][17]. 2. Commentary: Mining Benefits from Rising Tungsten Prices - The company increased its tungsten concentrate production to 4,154 tons, a 5.64% increase year-on-year, and tin production to 882 tons, a 6.23% increase year-on-year [2][21]. - The company’s gross margin decreased by 0.55 percentage points to 15.03% in 2023, despite a 5% increase in tungsten market prices [3][22]. 3. Future Core Highlights - The company has low mining costs and is well-positioned to benefit from rising tungsten prices, with significant mining rights and exploration areas [4][54]. - The cutting tool segment is expected to be a major growth driver, with the subsidiary Ganzhou Aoketai achieving a 27.66% increase in cutting tool sales volume [4][64]. 4. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 214 million yuan, 287 million yuan, and 357 million yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 37, 28, and 22 [4][66].