产能逐步落地，海外业务快速发展

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 14.70 yuan [6][10] Core Views - The company's overseas business is growing rapidly, with overseas revenue reaching 92.95 million yuan in 2023, a 39.94% YoY increase, accounting for 14.94% of total revenue [9] - The company's domestic revenue in 2023 was 529 million yuan, a 17.70% YoY increase [9] - The company's revenue from commercialized mouse models reached 367 million yuan in 2023, a 13.62% YoY increase [9] - The company's functional efficacy business revenue was 132 million yuan in 2023, a 36.09% YoY increase [9] - The company's custom breeding business revenue was 78.85 million yuan in 2023, a 22.24% YoY increase [9] - The company's model customization revenue was 34.78 million yuan in 2023, a 49.42% YoY increase [9] - The company's import/export agency and other revenue was 8.8 million yuan in 2023, a 15.15% YoY increase [9] - The company's overseas facility in San Diego was launched in Q1 2024, which is expected to enhance service capabilities and accelerate overseas market expansion [9] Financial Projections - The company's revenue is expected to be 761 million yuan in 2024, 940 million yuan in 2025, and 1.17 billion yuan in 2026, with growth rates of 22.26%, 23.55%, and 24.51% respectively [6] - The company's net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 201 million yuan in 2024, 250 million yuan in 2025, and 314 million yuan in 2026, with growth rates of 26.20%, 24.43%, and 25.65% respectively [6] - The company's EPS is expected to be 0.49 yuan in 2024, 0.61 yuan in 2025, and 0.76 yuan in 2026, with a 3-year CAGR of 25.43% [6] - The company's EBITDA is expected to be 333 million yuan in 2024, 389 million yuan in 2025, and 443 million yuan in 2026 [14] - The company's P/E ratio is expected to be 26.0x in 2024, 20.9x in 2025, and 16.6x in 2026 [14] - The company's P/B ratio is expected to be 2.3x in 2024, 2.1x in 2025, and 1.9x in 2026 [14] - The company's EV/EBITDA is expected to be 11.6x in 2024, 9.2x in 2025, and 7.4x in 2026 [14] Operational Highlights - The company added approximately 80,000 cages of domestic capacity in 2023, bringing the total capacity to approximately 280,000 cages, a 40% increase compared to the end of 2022 [9] - The company operates seven large production facilities in Nanjing, Changzhou, Foshan, Chengdu, Beijing, and Shanghai [9] - The company's operating cash flow is expected to be 388 million yuan in 2024, 351 million yuan in 2025, and 396 million yuan in 2026 [1] - The company's capital expenditure is expected to be -50 million yuan annually from 2024 to 2026 [1] - The company's net cash increase is expected to be 249 million yuan in 2024, 290 million yuan in 2025, and 337 million yuan in 2026 [1] Industry and Valuation - The company operates in the pharmaceutical and medical services industry [10] - The current stock price is 12.72 yuan, with a target price of 14.70 yuan [10] - The company's total market capitalization is 2,594 million yuan, with a total share capital of 410 million shares and a circulating share capital of 203.93 million shares [15] - The company's net asset per share is 5.20 yuan, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 16.73% [15]