QINCHUAN(SZ:000837) Southwest Securities·2024-05-05 02:30Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Hold" rating for Qin Chuan Machine Tool (000837) [1][9]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2024 performance showed a revenue of 981 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.62% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.25%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 25 million yuan, down 56.12% year-on-year but up 176.67% quarter-on-quarter, indicating that the performance met expectations [1][14]. - The gross margin for Q1 2024 was 16.78%, down 1.81 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 3.39%, down 2.83 percentage points year-on-year. The expense ratio for the period was 16.10%, an increase of 0.34 percentage points year-on-year [2][14]. - The company aims for a revenue growth of no less than 15% in 2024, despite the challenges faced in the industry [15][16]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2024 revenue was 981 million yuan, down 2.62% year-on-year, but up 5.25% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit was 25 million yuan, down 56.12% year-on-year, but up 176.67% quarter-on-quarter [1][14]. - The gross margin was 16.78%, down 1.81 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 3.39%, down 2.83 percentage points year-on-year [2][14]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17% in revenue from 2024 to 2026, with net profits expected to be 132 million yuan in 2024, 196 million yuan in 2025, and 277 million yuan in 2026 [16][17]. - The company is positioned as a leader in domestic gear machine tools, contributing to the localization of high-end five-axis machine tools [16][17].