Workflow
现金流明显优化,分红率超90%
SDLSDL(SZ:002658) GF SECURITIES·2024-05-06 01:03

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 9.28 CNY per share, compared to the current price of 6.24 CNY [16][6]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2023 was 1.51 billion CNY, a slight increase of 0.37% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 203 million CNY, down 28.51% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 232 million CNY, a decrease of 22.30% year-on-year, with a net loss of 6.41 million CNY [6][26]. - The company has improved its operating cash flow significantly, reaching 318 million CNY in 2023, an increase of 54.96% year-on-year, despite facing intensified market competition that led to a decline in gross margin [6][3]. - The ecological environment monitoring system remains the primary revenue driver, accounting for 80% of total revenue in 2023, while the industrial process analysis system showed strong growth with a 42.16% increase in revenue [6][53]. Revenue Performance - In 2023, the ecological environment monitoring system generated 1.21 billion CNY in revenue, a decrease of 5.53% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 45.23%. The industrial process analysis system achieved 244 million CNY in revenue, up 42.16%, but with a gross margin of 30.28% [6][53]. - The company has a healthy accounts receivable situation, with a total of 612 million CNY as of the end of 2023, and 59% of this amount is due within one year, indicating manageable credit risk [32][6]. Financial Metrics - The company reported a net profit margin of 13.4% in 2023, with a significant increase in cash flow and a dividend payout ratio exceeding 90%, reflecting strong shareholder returns [6][5]. - The projected net profits for 2024 to 2026 are estimated at 236 million CNY, 274 million CNY, and 311 million CNY, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 16.81, 14.48, and 12.75 [6][9]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The company is strategically positioned in the carbon monitoring sector, having established partnerships with several major power groups and winning multiple carbon monitoring project bids [6][69]. - The report highlights the potential for growth in the scientific instruments segment, particularly through acquisitions that enhance the company's capabilities in high-end mass spectrometry and chromatography [6][58].