Core Insights - The report highlights a mixed performance in Q1 across various industries, with notable profit declines in commerce, media, construction materials, public utilities, and electrical equipment, while sectors like electronics, agriculture, light industry, environmental protection, and pharmaceuticals show faster profit improvements [3] - Electronics and environmental protection are identified as two significant alpha opportunities for the year, driven by a new consumption cycle indicated by global PMI data, with consumer electronics net profit growth reaching 44.91% in Q1 [3] - The environmental sector is expected to benefit from carbon reduction goals and large-scale equipment upgrades, with the completion of environmental targets lagging behind economic goals during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [3] Industry Performance - The report notes that industrial profits are still expanding overall, despite a slight retraction, with significant growth observed in the computer communication, chemical raw materials, chemical fiber, automotive, and non-ferrous metal smelting industries [15] - However, some industries, such as automotive and computer communication, are experiencing profit growth alongside declining capacity utilization rates, suggesting that demand is not emerging from the downstream [15] - The chemical fiber industry, particularly viscose staple fiber, is highlighted as a sector where all data points are currently in sync, with improving profits and rising capacity utilization, supported by recovering global social scenarios [15] Market Trends - The manufacturing PMI for April stands at 50.4, indicating a stable overall trend, while industrial enterprise profits show a slight retraction but remain in an expansion state [15][23] - The report emphasizes that the current cycle is primarily in the midstream, with a notable ability for cost transfer observed in the midstream sectors due to incremental demand [15] - The report also indicates that the pressure from carbon emissions is likely to continue to increase, impacting various industries [15]
行业比较跟踪:今年的阿尔法:半导体及环保
Guoyuan Securities·2024-05-06 09:00