Shenergy(SH:600642)2024-05-08 07:02Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in net profit for 2023, achieving a net profit of 3.459 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 219.52%, which aligns with expectations [2] - The company's revenue for 2023 was 29.142 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 3.36% year-on-year [2] - The first quarter of 2024 saw a net profit of 1.159 billion yuan, up 57.96% from the same period last year, exceeding expectations [2] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 0.4 yuan per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.7% based on the closing price on April 30 [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company generated total revenue of 29.142 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.4% [3] - The net profit for 2023 was 3.459 billion yuan, with a remarkable year-on-year growth rate of 219.5% [3] - The company’s gross margin improved significantly, increasing by 10.64 percentage points to 10.68% [2] Power Generation and Pricing - The company’s power generation volume reached 45.978 billion kWh in 2023, with an on-grid power volume of 44.153 billion kWh, both showing year-on-year increases of 4.42% and 4.48% respectively [2] - The average on-grid electricity price for 2023 was 494.67 yuan per MWh, an increase of 9.81 yuan per MWh year-on-year [2] - The company expects continued improvement in profitability due to favorable coal supply and demand dynamics and the implementation of capacity pricing [2] Renewable Energy Development - The company added 830,000 kW of new renewable energy capacity in 2023, bringing the total renewable energy capacity to 5.1215 million kW, which constitutes 30.2% of its total capacity [2] - The company’s wind and solar power generation volumes for 2023 were 5.257 billion kWh and 2.477 billion kWh, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 6.17% and 26.82% [2] Oil and Gas Business - The oil and gas segment achieved revenue of 2.820 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 23.56%, with a gross margin of 27.65% [2] - The company is making progress in its oil and gas exploration and production initiatives, which are expected to enhance long-term performance [2] Financial Strategy - The company is actively expanding its industrial chain through equity participation, which helps mitigate structural risks [2] - The company successfully issued a perpetual bond of 1 billion yuan at a record low interest rate of 2.50% [2] - Financial expenses decreased by 5.79% year-on-year to 1.184 billion yuan in 2023, indicating improved cost control [2] Earnings Forecast - The net profit forecasts for 2024 and 2025 have been raised to 3.958 billion yuan and 4.476 billion yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2026 set at 4.836 billion yuan [2] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 11, 9, and 9 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [2]