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汇量科技:Mintegral持续升级,垂类取得新突破

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Mobvista (1860 HK) with a target price of HKD 6 2 [1][3][5] Core Views - Mobvista delivered strong Q1 2024 results with revenue reaching 301million,up233301 million, up 23 3% YoY, and net profit surging 1 2x YoY to 7 154 million, both hitting record highs [1][2] - The programmatic advertising platform Mintegral remains the primary growth driver, contributing 284millioninQ1revenue,up254284 million in Q1 revenue, up 25 4% YoY, with its smart bidding products accounting for over 60% of Mintegral's revenue [2] - Non-gaming revenue grew significantly by 83 2% YoY to 81 million in Q1, driven by expansion into higher-margin mid-core and hardcore games as well as non-gaming verticals like e-commerce and social [2] - Gross margin improved by 1 3pp YoY to 20 5% in Q1, supported by higher margins in both advertising technology (up 1 4pp to 19 7%) and marketing technology (up 2 6pp to 79 3%) [2] - R&D expenses increased by 57 8% YoY to 30millioninQ1,reflectinginvestmentsinsmartbiddingsystemsandmodeltraining[2]ThecompanyhasachievedsixconsecutivequartersofprofitabilitysinceQ42022,withoperatingleveragecontinuingtoexpand[2]IndustryAnalysisTheEUsDigitalMarketsAct(DMA),effectiveMarch6,2024,isexpectedtofosteramorecompetitivedigitaladvertisingmarketbyregulating"gatekeeper"platforms,creatingopportunitiesforsmallerplayerslikeMobvista[3]TheDMAislikelytoencourageinnovationandprovideadvertiserswithmorecompliantandeffectivewaystoreachtargetaudiences,benefitingcompanieswithadvancedadvertisingtechnologies[3]FinancialProjectionsRevenueisprojectedtogrowfrom30 million in Q1, reflecting investments in smart bidding systems and model training [2] - The company has achieved six consecutive quarters of profitability since Q4 2022, with operating leverage continuing to expand [2] Industry Analysis - The EU's Digital Markets Act (DMA), effective March 6, 2024, is expected to foster a more competitive digital advertising market by regulating "gatekeeper" platforms, creating opportunities for smaller players like Mobvista [3] - The DMA is likely to encourage innovation and provide advertisers with more compliant and effective ways to reach target audiences, benefiting companies with advanced advertising technologies [3] Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 1 2655 billion in 2024E to 18721billionin2026E,withaCAGRof1851 8721 billion in 2026E, with a CAGR of 18 5% [4][9] - Net profit is expected to increase from 39 1 million in 2024E to $82 7 million in 2026E, with a CAGR of 31 2% [4][9] - Gross margin is forecasted to rise steadily from 20 8% in 2024E to 21 0% in 2026E [4][12] - ROE is projected to improve from 8 2% in 2024E to 13 3% in 2026E, reflecting stronger profitability and efficiency [12]