昀冢科技：CMI受益消费电子复苏，陶瓷基板有望快速成长

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, expecting the stock price to outperform the industry index by over 15% in the next six months [34]. Core Insights - The company is benefiting from the recovery in consumer electronics, with significant growth expected in its ceramic substrate business. The demand for its CMI products is anticipated to accelerate due to the increasing smartphone shipments and technological upgrades in optical components [2][3][15]. - The company reported a revenue of 525 million yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 13.35%, but faced a net loss of 126 million yuan, which widened compared to the previous year. In Q1 2024, revenue surged to 141 million yuan, marking a 56.72% year-on-year increase [2][12]. - The company is focusing on expanding its CMI product lines, particularly the third and fourth generation products, to meet the growing demand from domestic smartphone brands like Huawei and Xiaomi [3][15]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 631 million yuan in 2024 to 988 million yuan in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20.2% [11]. - The net profit is expected to improve from a loss of 60 million yuan in 2024 to a profit of 83 million yuan in 2026, indicating a significant turnaround [16]. - The gross margin is forecasted to increase from 24.9% in 2024 to 33.2% in 2026, reflecting improved operational efficiency and product mix [29]. Business Segments - The consumer electronics segment remains the backbone of the company, with a strong focus on precision electronic components used in smartphone cameras. The market for optical components is expected to grow rapidly, driven by innovations in smartphone technology [15][24]. - The automotive electronics segment is also being developed, with products aimed at enhancing vehicle safety and performance. The company is investing in IGBT technology to expand its customer base in this sector [15][16]. - The electronic ceramics business, particularly in MLCC, is positioned for growth as the company aims to replace imported products and enhance its competitive edge through R&D and production optimization [24][25].