机械行业2023年&24Q1业绩总结:出海与设备更新提振需求,关注通用设备制造业修复带来投资机会
AVIC Securities·2024-05-29 11:00

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [1] Core Views - The mechanical equipment industry showed a total revenue of 1.69 trillion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 5.69%, with a net profit of 114.1 billion yuan, up 7.83% year-on-year, indicating significant improvement in profitability due to enhanced manufacturing demand [2][4] - In Q1 2024, the mechanical equipment industry generated a total revenue of 363.7 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.95%, with a net profit of 25.2 billion yuan, up 3.84% year-on-year, reflecting a continued positive operational trend [5][4] - The report highlights the recovery of general equipment manufacturing driven by improved downstream demand, particularly in sectors like machine tools, robots, and forklifts, as well as the ongoing growth in photovoltaic equipment [2][58] Summary by Sections Mechanical Equipment Industry Performance - The mechanical equipment industry experienced a revenue increase in 2023, with total revenue reaching 1.69 trillion yuan and net profit at 114.1 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 5.69% and 7.83% respectively [2][4] - In Q1 2024, the industry maintained a positive trajectory with revenue of 363.7 billion yuan and net profit of 25.2 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 4.95% and 3.84% [5][4] Key Industry Segments - General equipment, including machine tools and robots, is expected to benefit from improved demand, with specific companies like Huazhong CNC and Guomao Co. being highlighted for potential investment opportunities [2][58] - The photovoltaic equipment sector continues to show strong growth, with revenue from photovoltaic processing equipment increasing by 63% year-on-year in 2023 [7] Focused Investment Recommendations - Key recommended stocks include Beite Technology, Best, Micro Light, Mingzhi Electric, and others, indicating a diversified approach to investment in the advanced manufacturing sector [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring sectors such as photovoltaic equipment, energy storage, and automation for potential growth opportunities [3][61] Market Trends and Projections - The report anticipates a recovery in manufacturing driven by equipment upgrades and improved export dynamics, with a notable increase in industrial robot production and metal cutting machine output in April 2024 [58] - The overall manufacturing sector's contribution to global value added remains significant, with China's manufacturing value added accounting for approximately 30% of the global total [58]