小鹏汽车-W:大众赋能带动营收增长,出海+技术战略布局前景可期
Great Wall Securities·2024-05-31 03:01

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the company, expecting the stock price to outperform the industry index by over 15% in the next six months [15]. Core Views - The collaboration with Volkswagen is driving revenue growth, and the company's international expansion and technological strategy are promising for future prospects [1][8]. - The first quarter of 2024 saw significant revenue growth, with total revenue reaching 6.548 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 62.3% [1][2]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its product matrix and has plans for new model launches, which are expected to boost sales in the upcoming quarters [2][9]. Financial Summary - Revenue Growth: The company's revenue for 2023 is projected at 30.68 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 14.23%. By 2026, revenue is expected to reach approximately 99.99 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 30.39% [1][11]. - Net Profit: The net profit for 2023 is forecasted to be -10.38 billion yuan, with a gradual improvement expected in subsequent years, turning positive in 2026 with a net profit of 0.895 billion yuan [1][11]. - Gross Margin: The gross margin for automotive sales improved to 5.5% in Q1 2024, up 1.4 percentage points from the previous quarter and 8.0 percentage points year-on-year [1][2]. - Service Revenue: The company achieved service and other business revenue of 1.004 billion yuan in Q1 2024, a year-on-year increase of 93.1%, contributing significantly to overall profitability [7]. Strategic Developments - Partnership with Volkswagen: The partnership has deepened, with significant contributions to service revenue and gross margin, providing stable cash flow amidst competitive pressures [7]. - International Expansion: The company has initiated its international V2.0 strategy, with a cumulative export volume in Q1 2024 reaching 61.8% of the total export volume for 2023, indicating strong growth in overseas markets [8][9]. - New Product Launches: Upcoming launches include the AI-driven compact electric sedan and a new B-class electric vehicle, expected to enhance the product lineup and improve sales [2][9].