Evergreen Technology(603125) 财通证券·2024-06-02 01:22Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [76]. Core Viewpoints - The company leverages its alkylation reaction technology to produce high-end and customized products, positioning itself as a leader in the fine chemical sector [77]. - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth from 2024 to 2026, with projected revenues of 1.25 billion, 1.87 billion, and 2.32 billion yuan respectively, alongside net profits of 264 million, 382 million, and 494 million yuan [78]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of specialty polymer monomers and additives, contributing to the manufacturing and performance enhancement of downstream polymer materials [35][36]. - Established in June 2010, the company has continuously improved its product quality and expanded its production capacity, with a focus on high-performance polymer materials [8]. Product Analysis - The company produces high-value specialty chemical products, including divinylbenzene and α-methylstyrene, which are used in ion exchange resins and modified acrylic resins [3][43]. - The company has a robust production capacity, with existing and planned capacities of 85,000 tons/year for specialty polymer monomers and 28,000 tons/year for specialty additives [36][84]. Market Trends - The demand for ion exchange resins in water treatment is expected to grow, with the market for ion exchange resins in China projected to exceed 300,000 tons by 2026 [16]. - The domestic market for acrylic resins is experiencing a significant supply gap, with α-methylstyrene expected to reduce reliance on imported products [43][134]. Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 1.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.75%, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20% from 2018 to 2023 [37][75]. - The company's net profit for 2023 was 213 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.50% [37][75]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from its ongoing capacity expansion projects, with new production lines anticipated to come online by October 2025, which will enhance its market position and profitability [90][116]. - The report forecasts a stable gross margin for the company's products, driven by their high-end positioning and customization capabilities [151][162].