电子行业周观点:存储市场持续复苏,MLCC订单出货比有望回升
Wanlian Securities·2024-06-03 13:00

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the electronic industry [1] Core Insights - The storage market is showing signs of recovery, with strong demand for NAND Flash and MLCC driven by AI applications and inventory adjustments in consumer electronics [1][9][12] - The semiconductor sector is expected to benefit from advancements in AI chip technology and increased production capacity in advanced packaging and HBM [1][8][10] - The electronic sector outperformed the broader market, with a notable increase in the electronic index compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [1][13] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Advanced Packaging: TSMC's CoWoS capacity is projected to increase by 150% in 2024, with a further 70% growth expected by 2025. HBM production is also anticipated to double by 2025 due to NVIDIA's demand [1][8] - Storage: In Q1 2024, the NAND Flash market saw a revenue increase of 28.1%, totaling $14.71 billion, primarily due to AI server demand and inventory adjustments by PC and smartphone manufacturers [1][9] - AI Chips: Arm announced new CPU and GPU IPs based on the Arm v9 architecture, aimed at enhancing AI processing capabilities in smartphones and other devices [1][10] - Integrated Circuits: A new action plan from the government aims to promote high-quality development in information technology, focusing on standardization in key areas like advanced computing and AI chips [1][11] - MLCC: The shipment of multilayer ceramic capacitors is expected to grow by 6.8% in Q2 2024, driven by strong demand from AI servers [1][12] Electronic Sector Weekly Review - Market Performance: From May 27 to June 2, 2024, the electronic index rose by 2.84%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.44 percentage points [1][13] - Subsector Performance: Five out of six secondary sub-industries in the electronic sector saw gains, with electronic chemicals II leading at a 6.26% increase [1][17] - Valuation: The current PE (TTM) for the SW electronic sector is 59.88, above the historical average of 48.64, indicating potential for further valuation increases [1][19] - Trading Volume: The average daily trading volume for the electronic sector was approximately $1.016 trillion, reflecting a 12.60% increase from the previous week [1][21] - Stock Performance: Among 483 stocks in the electronic sector, 377 saw price increases, resulting in a rise rate of 78.05% [1][23]

电子行业周观点:存储市场持续复苏,MLCC订单出货比有望回升 - Reportify