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房地产百强房企1-5月销售数据点评:百强房企销售降幅略微收窄,前10房企整体降幅最小
Dongxing Securities·2024-06-04 05:30

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "positive" investment rating for the real estate industry [1][3]. Core Viewpoints - The sales decline of the top 100 real estate companies has slightly narrowed, with the top 10 companies experiencing the smallest overall decline [1][3]. - In the first five months of 2023, the top 100 real estate companies achieved a total sales amount of 15,414.2 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 46.0%, which is an improvement from a 48.5% decline in the first four months [2][4]. - The median year-on-year sales growth rate for 36 tracked key real estate companies was -51.2%, with state-owned enterprises performing better than mixed ownership and private enterprises [2][4]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - The total sales amount for the top 10 companies was 7,519.1 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 39.9% [3][4]. - The sales performance of other groups is as follows: - Top 11-20: 2,588.6 billion yuan, -50.7% - Top 21-30: 1,330.8 billion yuan, -55.8% - Top 31-50: 1,722.2 billion yuan, -51.8% - Top 51-100: 2,253.5 billion yuan, -46.5% [3][4]. Sales Growth Rates - The year-on-year sales growth rates for the first five months of 2024 are as follows: - Top 10: -39.9% - Top 11-20: -50.7% - Top 21-30: -55.8% - Top 31-50: -51.8% - Top 51-100: -46.5% - Overall top 100: -46.0% [4][9]. Key Company Insights - Among the 36 key companies tracked, state-owned enterprises showed a median sales growth rate of -40.3%, while mixed ownership and private enterprises had a median of -55.1% [10][12]. - The report suggests that easing purchase restrictions and lowering down payment ratios in core first and second-tier cities may boost demand, leading to a narrowing of sales declines in June [1][3].