军工行业周报:主题搭台,权重唱戏
AVIC Securities·2024-06-11 07:00

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the defense and military industry is "Overweight" [1] Core Views - The defense and military industry index decreased by 1.71%, ranking 7th out of 31 industries [1] - The commercial aerospace sector experienced a pullback after a previous surge, indicating a return to rationality in the market [1] - Major military enterprises saw an increase in stock prices, with notable gains from companies like Zhongbing Hongjian (+12.99%) and Aerospace Electric (+8.00%) [1] - The market is influenced by several factors, including the active participation of large-cap stocks and the gradual confirmation of demand changes [1][3] Summary by Sections Recent Market Performance - The defense and military index saw a decline of 1.71%, while the overall market indices also experienced slight decreases [11] - The top gainers included companies like Zhongbing Hongjian and Aerospace Electric, while the biggest losers faced significant declines [11] Important Events and Announcements - Recent announcements include the establishment of a civil aviation test flight center and successful test flights of new military technologies [12][14] Industry Outlook - The military industry is expected to enter an upward cycle post-2024, aiming to achieve the centenary goals by 2027 [3] - The second half of the year is anticipated to perform better than the first half, with quarterly performance expected to improve [3] Investment Opportunities - Focus on new growth points in the military industry, such as commercial aerospace and low-altitude economy, which are expected to drive structural growth [4] - Attention should be given to military central enterprises and their subsidiaries, which are likely to benefit from value management and quality improvement initiatives [4][5] Market Data - The average annual market size for China's aerospace launches is projected to exceed 26 billion yuan from 2024 to 2026, driven by increasing satellite deployment needs [27][29] - The market for liquid rocket launches is expected to significantly surpass that of solid rockets, indicating a shift in industry dynamics [29]