Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 73.78 yuan [29] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the AI wave and domestic substitution trends, with projected net profits of 180, 260, and 350 million yuan for 2024-2026, corresponding to valuations of 28, 20, and 15 times respectively [6] - The company is a leading network equipment manufacturer, continuously expanding into mid-to-high-end switch products, and is expected to see strong growth driven by AI and domestic substitution [6][17] - The company has a stable equity structure and an experienced management team, which supports its scale expansion [19][42] Industry Trends - The AI wave is driving a surge in data volume, leading to increased demand for high-speed switches and data center upgrades [27][56] - The global Ethernet switch market grew by 20.1% in 2023, with high-speed switches showing particularly strong growth [67] - The domestic switch market is expected to grow steadily, with high-speed switches likely to outperform the overall market [92] Company Overview - The company specializes in the R&D, production, and sales of network equipment, with a focus on switches, routers, and wireless products [17][26] - It has a comprehensive product line, including enterprise-grade, consumer-grade, and industrial switches, as well as data center switches with 100G/400G capabilities [18][42] - The company has established long-term partnerships with major clients like H3C, and its product offerings are expanding into higher-end segments [17][28] Financial Performance - The company's revenue growth has slowed, but it remains competitive within the industry, with a focus on high-value products [45] - Gross margins have improved, surpassing industry averages, driven by the shift towards mid-to-high-end products [23] - R&D investment has increased significantly, with a 33.24% year-on-year growth in 2023, and the company has a strong portfolio of patents and intellectual property [51] Growth Drivers - The company is expected to benefit from the rapid adoption of 800G switches, driven by AI and data center upgrades [1][55] - Its "big customer" strategy, particularly with H3C, is expected to drive growth as the partnership extends into higher-end products [28] - The company is expanding its product line to include routers and wireless products, which contributed 13.21% of revenue in 2023, up from 8.82% in 2022 [73] Market Opportunities - The domestic switch market is dominated by local manufacturers, with strong demand for supply chain security and domestic substitution [7] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growth of cloud computing and AI infrastructure, with its data center switch capabilities [18][27] - The company is also exploring opportunities in the automotive electronics sector, which could provide a second growth curve [31]
菲菱科思：网络设备中军有望受益AI+国产替代，产品升级+手握优质客户赋能增长