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Guggenheim's Michael Morris: Drivers of Netlfix earnings beat and raise will continue
NetflixNetflix(US:NFLX) CNBC Televisionยท2025-07-18 14:19

Financial Performance & Guidance - Netflix beat estimates and raised guidance, but the stock reaction was slightly negative [1][4] - Guggenheim Securities raises its target on Netflix to $450 from $400 with a buy rating [1] - The drivers of the beat and raise are sustainable, generating incremental momentum [6] Content Strategy & Engagement - Netflix is expanding shows, titles, genres, geographies, and formats to appeal to a broader audience [3] - Engagement, measured by hours consumed, grew modestly (1%) in the first six months compared to membership growth (close to double digits), raising concerns [7] - Engagement trends are expected to improve in the second half of the year due to a more robust content slate, including returning series and new films [8][9] - Live content and sports are increasingly important for long-term growth [10] Advertising - Advertising is growing at a very high rate and expected to more than double this year, becoming a more significant contributor to financials [11][12][13] - Netflix has built out its advertising technology and relationships, expecting growth in the back half of the year and into next year [13] Industry Dynamics - Paramount is facing challenges due to cord-cutting and a transition to a new ownership structure under Sky Dance [15] - Paramount has great assets and is hoped to be well-positioned after the transition [16]