Regulatory & Legal Landscape - A federal judge's ruling that Google won't be forced to separate from its Chrome browser is positive for Google, Apple, and Meta [1][2] - The adtech case represents approximately 9% of Google's business, with a potential impact of around 5% due to lower profitability [6] AI & Search Technology - Google is making progress in AI overviews and AI mode across its search interfaces [2] - Click-through rates with AI overviews and AI mode are nearing the levels of traditional search from a couple of years ago [12] - Apple could potentially benefit from AI by developing its own AI search product, with Perplexity being a possible acquisition target [7][8] Market Dynamics & Competition - Microsoft's Bing has struggled to significantly increase its search share despite substantial investment over 15 years, remaining at 4% [5] - Google's search share remains above 90% [6] - The market believes Google's valuation had a significant gap compared to other major tech companies (Mag 7), partly due to regulatory concerns and search progress [10][11] Apple-Google Search Deal - Apple currently receives $20 billion annually from the Google search deal, which is renegotiated yearly [6] - The Google search deal accounts for about 15% of Apple's operating income [4]
Google antitrust ruling is also positive for Meta, says Deepwater's Gene Munster