Tech Volatility to Persist: Columbia Threadneedle’s Wade

Market Trends & Investment Sentiment - Investors perceive China's actions regarding analog semi companies as posturing in trade talks, not expecting significant long-term earnings impact [2] - Markets are at a record high, focusing on the Federal Reserve [1] - Investor sentiment has improved, reflecting confidence in the economy, leading to increased asset manager activity [10] - Investors are showing willingness to invest in more speculative growth companies, even those without current earnings or free cash flow [12] IPO Market - The IPO market has had a tremendous year, contrasting with the last three years [9] - IPO volume through mid-September surpasses the full years of 2022, 2023, and 2024, indicating pent-up demand [10] - IPO activity is not limited to tech, extending across consumer and energy sectors [13] US-China Relations & Tech - Technology remains a key area for tariff negotiations between the U S and China, expected to cause continued volatility [15] - The U S and China are working towards a framework for a TikTok deal, with technology at the heart of negotiations [14] Corporate Reporting - The President suggested American companies should report earnings every six months, pending authorization by the FCC [3] - Reduced reporting frequency could decrease volatility but also reduce visibility for investors and potentially increase information disparity [4][5]