Market Cycle Analysis - The traditional four-year Bitcoin cycle, with peaks in Q4 of 2013, 2017, and 2021, is unlikely to continue [1][3] - The extension of the credit cycle is anticipated due to cheaper and more plentiful money, particularly in the United States and to a lesser extent in China [3] Liquidity and Monetary Policy - The US Treasury's issuance schedule in 2022 drained a $250 billion (half trillion dollar) facility at the Fed, releasing liquidity into the markets, which mirrored the decline in the risk program [1] - The risk program has now reached zero [1] Potential Economic Stimulus - Discussions around bank credit growth, housing emergency measures to unlock home equity, and tariff-funded stimulus checks suggest potential liquidity injections [2] - Political rhetoric favors policies that promote liquidity growth and reduce the price of money [3]
🔥比特幣「四年循環」定律崩塌！Arthur Hayes揭開幣圈最新秩序 @ArthurHayes
邦妮區塊鏈 Bonnie Blockchain·2025-10-23 11:01