The final stretch setup: Here's what to know

Market Performance & Outlook - The S&P 500 is up 36% from the April 8th lows and 16% year-to-date [2] - The economy is growing at 4% and productivity growth is running up 3% [2][3] - Earnings are growing 123%, revenues are growing 8%, both exceeding historical averages of 5% [4] - Fourth quarter growth is expected to be 8-12% cumulatively, suggesting a positive outlook [5] - The market has strong tailwinds, including accommodative global central banks and disinflationary trends [6] Technology Sector & AI - Technology is a key driver of the market, but investors are uncertain about the broadening out of the AI trade [8][12] - Mega-cap technology stocks experienced significant market cap fluctuations, adding $618 billion after losing $800 billion the previous week [10] - The market is differentiating between companies with explicable AI capex strategies and those with less clear paybacks [16] Investment Strategies & Considerations - Investors should consider whether they are overweight in technology and assess the potential for technology positions to be a source of liquidity in 2026 [9] - It's important to use stops and ride the best stocks in the market during the year-end meltup period [21] - There are opportunities beyond AI, with various stocks in uptrends and great technical setups, including commodities and energy stocks [19][20]