干法隔膜涨价“异动”

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state and future trends of the dry separator industry, highlighting the need for quality improvement and price recovery amidst a competitive landscape marked by price wars and overcapacity [3][4][9]. Industry Overview - The dry separator market has experienced significant price declines, with 16 μm dry separator prices dropping from 0.89-1.05 RMB/m² in 2023 to 0.4-0.6 RMB/m², and 12 μm products seeing a 20% price drop [3]. - By early 2025, prices for 16 μm dry separators are expected to range from 0.35-0.5 RMB/m², while 12 μm prices are projected between 0.375-0.55 RMB/m², indicating a slight recovery in gross margins but limited profit restoration potential [3][9]. Industry Challenges - The industry faces severe challenges due to a price war leading to cash flow issues and a lack of technological innovation, as companies reduce R&D investments and produce homogeneous products [4][9]. - A recent initiative by the China Plastics Processing Industry Association aims to promote high-quality development in the lithium battery separator industry, addressing the internal competition and advocating for self-regulation [4][5]. Proposed Solutions - The initiative proposes three core measures to combat internal competition: 1. Establishing technical standards and capacity monitoring mechanisms to promote differentiated competition and rational capacity planning [5][6]. 2. Strengthening cost control and intellectual property protection to enhance risk management and encourage R&D investment [6]. 3. Maintaining fair competition and supply chain credit to combat unfair practices and support creditworthy companies [6]. Price Recovery Signals - There are indications that dry separator prices may be on the rise, with some manufacturers already increasing factory prices by over 20% in early 2025 [8][9]. - The price recovery is attributed to rising production costs, improved supply-demand dynamics, and the establishment of product quality standards, which are expected to support a rational return to price levels [9][10]. Market Dynamics - The dry separator market is characterized by high concentration, with leading companies holding over 90% market share, which provides them with pricing power [13]. - The first quarter of 2023 saw lithium iron phosphate batteries accounting for 80.8% of total domestic power battery installations, driving demand for 12 μm dry separators [13]. Future Outlook - The dual approach of the anti-internal competition initiative and price adjustments is expected to shift the industry focus from quantity to quality, fostering an environment conducive to technological innovation and capacity optimization [13].