一揽子金融政策将继续巩固房地产市场回稳势头
克而瑞地产研究·2025-05-07 06:31

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a series of financial policies introduced by the People's Bank of China and other regulatory bodies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market and supporting housing demand through monetary easing measures [2][10]. Summary by Sections Monetary Policy Measures - The People's Bank of China has implemented a comprehensive monetary policy package consisting of three main types of measures: quantity-based, price-based, and structural policies [5]. - A reduction in the reserve requirement ratio by 0.5 percentage points is expected to provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity to the market, lowering the average reserve requirement ratio from 6.6% to 6.2% [5]. - The policy interest rate has been lowered by 0.1 percentage points, which is anticipated to lead to a similar decrease in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) [6]. - The interest rate for personal housing provident fund loans has been reduced by 0.25 percentage points, bringing the five-year and above first-home loan rate down from 2.85% to 2.6%, close to historical lows [6]. Impact on Housing Market - The reduction in interest rates is expected to save homebuyers over 20 billion yuan annually in interest payments, enhancing their purchasing power and supporting rigid housing demand [6]. - The lowered rates for structural monetary policy tools are projected to save banks approximately 15-20 billion yuan in funding costs each year, facilitating support for urban renewal and affordable housing projects [7]. - The capital market tools are optimized to restore financing channels for real estate companies, alleviating debt extension pressures and potentially improving the demand for commercial real estate [8]. Financing Coordination Mechanism - The financial regulatory authority is expanding the "white list" financing coordination mechanism, which has increased the approved loans to 6.7 trillion yuan, supporting the construction and delivery of over 16 million residential units [10]. - Future efforts will focus on developing financing regulations that align with new real estate development models, ensuring stable financing for both rigid and improved housing demands [10]. Overall Economic Outlook - The current monetary policy aims to lower costs, expand demand, and stabilize expectations, with short-term effects expected to boost market activity and alleviate liquidity pressures for real estate companies [10]. - The recovery of the housing market is anticipated to be gradual and characterized by structural differentiation, with a focus on supporting high-quality housing supply and transforming the real estate industry towards new development models [10].