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晶体管,还能微缩吗?
半导体行业观察·2025-05-09 01:13

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution and significance of Moore's Law in the semiconductor industry, emphasizing its historical context, current challenges, and future prospects for technology advancements in integrated circuits [3][5][6]. Group 1: Historical Context of Moore's Law - Moore's Law originated from Gordon Moore's observation in 1965 that the number of components on integrated circuits would double approximately every two years, leading to exponential growth in circuit complexity [5][15]. - The early development of the integrated circuit industry was driven by military defense needs, with significant investments from the U.S. Air Force in the 1960s [6][9]. - Predictions made by industry leaders in the 1960s indicated that integrated circuits would become cost-competitive with traditional circuits, with estimates suggesting that by 1973, integrated circuits could be priced at one-third to two-thirds of traditional circuit costs [9][10]. Group 2: Current Challenges and Future of Moore's Law - There is ongoing debate about the "death" of Moore's Law, with concerns about potential technological barriers. However, the semiconductor industry has consistently overcome such challenges through innovation [6][22]. - The article highlights the transition from traditional planar transistors to advanced architectures like FinFET and GAA (Gate-All-Around) transistors, which enhance performance and efficiency [35][37]. - The semiconductor industry aims to continue reducing power consumption and costs while increasing performance and integration density, with a focus on maintaining the trajectory of Moore's Law [27][41]. Group 3: Technological Innovations - Innovations such as strained silicon and high-k materials have been pivotal in enhancing transistor performance and enabling further miniaturization [31][32]. - The introduction of 3D transistor architectures, such as FinFET and GAA, represents a significant advancement in transistor design, allowing for better control and efficiency [35][37]. - Future technologies, including CFET and FFET, are anticipated to further push the boundaries of transistor scaling and performance, continuing the legacy of Moore's Law into the next decade [39][41].