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【基础化工】国产替代主线不动摇,看好MXD6、离子交换树脂、半导体材料——行业周报(250505-0509)(赵乃迪/胡星月)
光大证券研究·2025-05-12 09:18

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of U.S. tariffs on Chinese products and highlights the growing opportunities for domestic new materials in China, particularly in the context of MXD6, ion exchange resins, and semiconductor materials [3][4][5][6]. Group 1: Tariffs and Market Dynamics - The U.S. has confirmed that additional tariffs on Chinese products have reached 145%, which is expected to increase the prices of certain American new materials and tighten the supply of imports [3]. - Domestic new materials are gaining favor among downstream customers due to their higher cost-performance ratio and timely technical responses [3]. Group 2: MXD6 Market Potential - MXD6, a high-performance engineering plastic, is projected to grow from $410 million in 2024 to $760 million by 2033, with a CAGR of approximately 7.1% [4]. - Domestic companies like Sinochem International and Qicai Chemical are making significant advancements in MXD6 production, with Qicai Chemical's 5000 tons/year MXD6 project entering trial production in September 2024 [4]. Group 3: Ion Exchange Resins Market - The high-end ion exchange resin market is dominated by multinational companies such as Dow Chemical and Lanxess, while domestic firms like Blue Sky Technology and Zhengguang Co. are making strides in achieving competitive performance [5]. - These domestic companies are gradually replacing imports in the domestic market and expanding their brand influence internationally [5]. Group 4: Semiconductor Materials Demand - The global semiconductor sales are expected to improve in 2024, reaching approximately $630.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of about 19.7% [6]. - The steady growth in the semiconductor market is anticipated to drive an increase in demand for semiconductor materials [6].