国泰海通 · 晨报0512｜宏观、策略、海外策略、机械、非银

Macro - The People's Bank of China has indicated a shift towards a more accommodative monetary policy, emphasizing the balance between supporting the real economy and maintaining the health of the banking system [1][2] - The report highlights the need to lower bank funding costs and suggests an imminent adjustment in deposit rates, reflecting a focus on stabilizing bank margins [1] - The central bank's easing cycle is expected to continue, with potential for further interest rate cuts and structural tools if economic pressures increase [1][2] Strategy - The Chinese A/H stock market is anticipated to rise further, with a positive outlook following recent market corrections and recovery [5][6] - The report notes that investor sentiment has improved regarding the economic situation and government responses to external pressures, creating a favorable environment for market growth [5] - Key sectors for investment include technology, consumer goods, and cyclical industries, with a focus on domestic demand and supply constraints [6][7] Non-Banking - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has released a plan for the high-quality development of public funds, focusing on enhancing long-term returns and investor trust [16][17] - The plan aims to shift the focus of fund management from scale to performance, promoting innovation and efficiency within the industry [16][17] - The restructuring of fund management tasks is expected to influence industry competition and lead to a concentration of resources among leading firms [17]