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国泰海通|产业:全A上市公司2024年年度报告全景简析——资本市场专题一
国泰海通证券研究·2025-05-08 13:18

Core Viewpoint - The article analyzes the structural differentiation characteristics of the A-share market in 2024, highlighting the financial performance pressures faced by listed companies amid increasing global economic uncertainty. Group 1: Overall Financial Performance - Total revenue for all A-share (excluding finance/oil) listed companies in 2024 is 56.39 trillion yuan, remaining flat compared to 2023, but the growth rate has shifted from +3.1% to -0.7% [1] - Net profit is 2.46 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 15.1%, worsening from a 3.4% decline in 2023; the proportion of loss-making companies has increased from 20.8% to 26.6% [1] - R&D investment reached 1.82 trillion yuan, growing by 2.5% year-on-year [1] - Capital expenditure totaled 4.16 trillion yuan, down 6.0% year-on-year [1] - The proportion of companies with a Z-score below 1.81 (indicating high credit risk) is 23.2%, an increase of 3.1% from 2023 [1] Group 2: Industry-Specific Financial Performance - The real estate sector is a major drag on revenue and profit, with 98 listed real estate companies reporting a revenue decline of 513.7 billion yuan and a net profit drop of 188.9 billion yuan, the highest decline in the industry; 73% of these companies have a Z-score below 1.81 [2] - The consumer sector shows resilience, with the strongest profitability in the food and beverage (daily consumption) and home appliance (discretionary consumption) industries, achieving weighted ROE of 16.8% and 15.3% respectively [2] - BYD leads in innovation with the highest R&D investment in 2024, totaling 54.2 billion yuan, a 36% increase year-on-year, with cumulative R&D investment exceeding 180 billion yuan [2] - The semiconductor industry benefits from AI and domestic substitution, with capital expenditure increasing by 10.7%, a significant rise from 3.5% in 2023; major wafer foundries like SMIC, Hua Hong, and Jinghe Integrated Circuit have capital expenditures of 54.6 billion yuan, 19.8 billion yuan, and 13.2 billion yuan respectively [2] Group 3: Risk Exposure and Strategic Shifts - The software industry has overtaken media as the sector with the highest goodwill impairment risk, with the ratio of goodwill impairment losses to net profit reaching 519.8% in 2024 [3] - Overseas revenue for all A-share (excluding finance/oil) companies totaled 884.24 billion yuan, a 10% year-on-year increase, accounting for 15.7% of total revenue, with 27 out of 33 industries reporting positive growth in overseas revenue [3] - Private enterprises and local state-owned enterprises are experiencing profit declines, with private enterprises seeing a revenue increase of 3.4% but a net profit drop of 19.0%, while local state-owned enterprises' net profit decreased by 12.9% [3][4]