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【商用车】2025年4月轻型商用车市场预测研究报告
FOTONFOTON(SH:600166) 乘联分会·2025-05-13 08:35

Industry Insights - Foton Motor is upgrading its strategy in Brazil, marking a new phase in its globalization efforts in the Latin American market with the launch of its factory in São Paulo [1] - The factory covers an area of 197,000 square meters and has an annual production capacity of 5,000 units, with an initial phase capacity of 2,000 units, capable of producing various vehicle types including medium and light trucks, and plans to expand to heavy trucks and pickups in the future [4] Product Analysis - As of April 28, 2025, Anhui Province has implemented a policy for the scrapping and updating of old operating trucks, while Zhejiang Province has released guidelines for subsidy applications [5] - Jiangsu and Shanghai have not yet published specific policies for old operating trucks but have issued notifications supporting the scrapping and updating of eligible vehicles [5] Sales Forecast - The heavy truck sales in Anhui Province for 2024 are projected at 25,000 units, a year-on-year decline of 5.9%, with a notable increase in sales in the last quarter following policy implementation [10] - By the end of 2024, the total replacement base in the Yangtze River Delta region is expected to reach 212,000 units, with a significant portion being heavy trucks [13] - The light commercial vehicle market is expected to see stable growth in 2025, with an estimated total sales of 2.82 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.5% [17]