Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic manufacturing industry is experiencing intensified competition, leading to stagnation in growth for major players like Longi Green Energy and Tongwei Co., while equipment manufacturers continue to thrive. However, as the industry faces financial strain in 2024, even equipment sellers are beginning to feel the pressure [2][4]. Group 1: Company Performance - Jiejia Weichuang achieved a revenue of 18.89 billion, a year-on-year increase of 116.3%, and a net profit of 2.76 billion, up 69.2%, becoming the new leader in photovoltaic equipment [5][3]. - Jing Sheng Mechanical's revenue was 17.58 billion, down 2.3%, with a net profit of 2.51 billion, down 44.9%, indicating a significant decline compared to Jiejia Weichuang [17][22]. - Maiwei Co. reported a revenue of 9.83 billion, a 21.5% increase, and a net profit of 0.93 billion, up 1.3%, showing moderate growth but still lagging behind the top two companies [34][48]. Group 2: Market Trends - The market share of TOPCon technology in the battery segment surged from 23.0% to 71.1%, indicating a significant shift towards this technology [10][12]. - The total production capacity of battery cells expanded from 976 GW to 1,108 GW within the year, with TOPCon capacity increasing by 209 GW to 770 GW, representing nearly 80% of the total [11][12]. - The quartz crucible prices, a key material for silicon wafer production, have dropped significantly after peaking in 2023, impacting the profitability of companies like Jing Sheng Mechanical [28][31]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Despite strong performance, Jiejia Weichuang's stock price has fallen by approximately 20% since the beginning of 2024, raising concerns about its future growth potential [15][16]. - The photovoltaic equipment sector is expected to face challenges as contract liabilities decrease, indicating a shrinking order book across the industry [52]. - Maiwei Co. is focusing on expanding its non-photovoltaic orders, which may provide a growth avenue in the future [49].
2024光伏变局:N型迭代重塑行业,设备龙头易主,合同负债缩水敲响警钟