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国内高频|港口货物吞吐量明显回升
申万宏源宏观·2025-05-13 15:31

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the stable operation of industrial production, marginal improvement in infrastructure construction, and a significant increase in human mobility and travel intensity, indicating a mixed economic recovery trend. Group 1: Industrial Production - Industrial production remains stable, with a slight year-on-year decrease in blast furnace operating rates by 0.6 percentage points to 3.1% [2][5] - The chemical sector shows marginal improvement, with soda ash, PTA, and polyester filament operating rates increasing by 1.5, 1.2, and 1.6 percentage points to 1.3%, 1.2%, and 2.9% respectively [2][13] - However, the automotive sector experiences a significant decline, with semi-steel tire operating rates dropping by 11.3 percentage points to 17.9% [2][13] Group 2: Construction Industry - The construction industry shows mixed performance, with national grinding operating rates and cement shipment rates declining by 14% to 5% and 3.8% to 6.3% respectively [2][16] - Asphalt operating rates, however, have increased year-on-year by 7% to 2% [2][21] Group 3: Demand Trends - There is a notable recovery in housing transactions, with average daily transaction area in 30 major cities increasing by 36.2% year-on-year to 26.8% [2][29] - Port cargo throughput has significantly improved, rising by 10.4% year-on-year to 4.2%, while container throughput increased by 2.5% to 2.9% [2][32] - Human mobility has surged, with the migration index increasing by 50.5% year-on-year to 51.4% [2][34] Group 4: Price Trends - Agricultural product prices have generally declined, with vegetable, pork, and egg prices falling by 2.2%, 2.3%, and 0.1% respectively [2][46] - The South China industrial product price index decreased by 0.7%, with energy and chemical prices down by 0.9% and metal prices down by 0.4% [2][49]