贸易战虽然赢了，但还是要发展内需啊！

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of China's economy, highlighting the challenges in stimulating domestic demand and the impact of external factors such as tariffs and inflation in the U.S. [1] Group 1: Economic Conditions - China's export decline and the unchanged inflation expectations in the U.S. indicate a persistent economic challenge for both countries [1] - Recent policies aimed at stimulating domestic demand, such as interest rate cuts, have been implemented, but their effectiveness is yet to be seen [1] Group 2: Domestic Demand Issues - The traditional methods of boosting domestic demand have proven ineffective, suggesting a need for new strategies [2] - The low proportion of disposable income relative to GDP raises concerns about consumer spending, as previous consumption was driven by real estate price bubbles [4] - The lack of long-term security and insufficient social welfare contribute to a culture of forced savings among the population, limiting consumption [13] Group 3: Structural Economic Challenges - The debate over whether to rely on market mechanisms or planned economy approaches for resource allocation is crucial, as current planning efforts may lead to inefficiencies [8] - The suggestion to cut ineffective infrastructure projects and redirect funds to social security systems raises concerns about potential short-term economic slowdown and increased unemployment [12] Group 4: Housing Market and Consumption - Stimulating the housing market is viewed as a significant way to boost consumption, as home purchases represent a major expenditure for consumers [9] - The financial burden of housing loans on new homeowners indicates a trend of high leverage in consumer spending [10] Group 5: Future Outlook - The need to cultivate a large middle class with high-income jobs is emphasized as essential for sustaining domestic demand [18] - The article questions whether the perceived stagnation in domestic demand is due to a misinterpretation of what constitutes consumption, particularly in light of significant government investment in infrastructure and housing [19]